To determine the projected outcome of two teams on a neutral field subtract the difference in ratings. So if team A has a rating of 80 and team B has a rating of 75 team A would be projected to win by 5 runs.
Arkansas (SEC)
Record- (43-19)
Rating- 15.64
Eye Test Rank- 19
Strength of Schedule- 36
Record vs Quad 1/2- (22-16) .579
-upset a pair of national seeds in Oklahoma State and North Carolina to reach Omaha after struggling down the stretch, pitching staff holds a top 20 ranking nationally in both ERA and strikeouts and is backed up by a defense that ranks 8th in fielding percentage
Stanford (Pac-12)
Record- (47-16)
Rating- 16.51
Eye Test Rank- 7
Strength of Schedule- 25
Record vs Quad 1/2- (30-14) .682
-staved off 5 elimination games on their road to Omaha, led by a formidable offense that ranks in the top 10 in both average and home runs per game along with a pitching staff that carries the 16th best ERA in the nation at 4.00
Ole Miss (SEC)
Record- (37-22)
Rating- 15.47
Eye Test Rank- 20
Strength of Schedule-14
Record vs Quad 1/2- (23-18) .561
- the Rebels, led by veteran coach Mike Bianco, have been the tournament’s biggest surprise going undefeated beating 6th ranked Miami and 11th ranked Southern Miss along the way, led by senior 1st baseman Tim Elko who led the offense with 22 home runs and 71 RBI
Auburn (SEC)
Record- (42-20)
Rating- 16.62
Eye Test Rank- 4
Strength of Schedule- 9
Record vs Quad 1/2- (26-16) .619
-the Tigers are making their 2nd trip to Omaha in the last 3 completed seasons (2020 cancelled due to COVID-19) under coach Butch Thompson, offense is led by 1st baseman Sonny DiChiara who has homered 22 times on the year, pitching staff strikes out 10.2 batters per game which ranks 22nd nationally