To determine the projected outcome of two teams on a neutral court subtract the difference in ratings. So if team A has a rating of 80 and team B has a rating of 75 team A would be projected to win by 5 points.
South Region
11. NC State (ACC)- 39.31
6. Creighton (Big East)- 44.69
14. UC Santa Barbara (Big West)- 34.48
3. Baylor (Big 12)- 44.14
East Region
16. Fairleigh Dickinson (NEC)- 22.48
1. Purdue (Big Ten)- 47.1
9. Fla. Atlantic (C-USA)- 44.66
8. Memphis (AAC)- 42.83
11. Providence (Big East)- 41.79
6. Kentucky (SEC)- 44.17
14. Montana St. (Big Sky)- 33.55
3. Kansas St. (Big 12)- 41.93
10. Southern California (Pac-12)- 38.79
7. Michigan St. (Big Ten)- 41.79
15. Vermont (America East)- 35.59
2. Marquette (Big East)- 40.69
Midwest Region
12. Drake (MVC)- 41.38
5. Miami (FL) (ACC)- 41.45
13. Kent St. (MAC)- 35.76
4. Indiana (Big Ten)- 43.9
11. Pittsburgh (ACC)- 39.55
6. Iowa St. (Big 12)- 40.66
14. Kennesaw St. (ASUN)- 36.03
3. Xavier (Big East)- 42.66
West Region
12. VCU (Atlantic 10)- 41.21
5. Saint Mary's (CA) (WCC)- 46.62
13. Iona (MAAC)- 37.86
4. UConn (Big East)- 42.59
11. Arizona St. (Pac-12)- 37.21
6. TCU (Big 12)- 41.55
14. Grand Canyon (WAC)- 37.1
3. Gonzaga (WCC)- 46.69