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NCAA Baseball Championship Conway Regional By The Numbers




To determine the projected outcome of two teams on a neutral field subtract the difference in ratings. So if team A has a rating of 80 and team B has a rating of 75 team A would be projected to win by 5 runs. Add .2 runs for home field advantage.



Where- Conway, SC


Regional Rating- 14.43 (13th toughest out of 16)



1. Coastal Carolina (Sun Belt)

Record- (39-19)

Rating- 15.95

Eye Test Analytics Rank- 22

Strength of Schedule- 17

Record vs Quad 1/2- (24-16)

Team Average- .310 (18)

Team ERA- 6.17 (174)


2. Duke (ACC)

Record- (35-21)

Rating- 16.91

Eye Test Analytics Rank- 11

Strength of Schedule- 11

Record vs Quad 1/2- (23-18)

Team Average- .280 (149)

Team ERA- 4.04 (10)


3. UNCW (CAA)

Record- (34-21)

Rating- 13.92

Eye Test Analytics Rank- 58

Strength of Schedule- 40

Record vs Quad 1/2- (14-13)

Team Average- .299 (48)

Team ERA- 5.6 (115)


4. Rider (MAAC)

Record- (35-19)

Rating- 10.93

Eye Test Analytics Rank- 160

Strength of Schedule- 244

Record vs Quad 1/2- (2-4)

Team Average- .268 (212)

Team ERA- 4.21 (18)





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